Influencia de las Preocupaciones sobre el Futuro en el Cambio Personal y en el Compromiso Personal e Institucional Frente al Cambio Climático

Autores/as

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.63595/ambeduc.v29i2.16441

Palabras clave:

Cambio climático, percepciones de los estudiantes, formuladores de políticas, preocupación futura.

Resumen

Este estudio investiga la relación entre la preocupación por el futuro (FC), el cambio personal (PC), el compromiso personal (PE) y el compromiso institucional (IE) en el contexto del cambio climático. A través de una encuesta a estudiantes universitarios brasileños, que resultó en 388 respuestas válidas, se utilizó el modelo de ecuaciones estructurales con mínimos cuadrados parciales (PLS-SEM) para el análisis de datos. Los resultados revelan una correlación positiva entre FC y PC, y entre FC y PE, así como un vínculo positivo entre PE y IE. Por otro lado, se identificó una asociación negativa entre FC e IE. Estos hallazgos destacan la compleja interacción entre las preocupaciones individuales por el futuro y el compromiso en acciones climáticas, tanto a nivel personal como institucional. El estudio sugiere la importancia de desarrollar estrategias que armonicen las motivaciones individuales con las acciones institucionales, enfatizando la necesidad de enfoques integrados para abordar eficazmente el cambio climático

Descargas

Biografía del autor/a

Fernando Alves Silveira , Universidade do Extremo Sul Catarinense (UNESC)

Master's degree in Socioeconomic Development and Bachelor's degree in Economics from UNESC. E-mail: fernandoalvessilveira@gmail.com

Jaime Dagostim Picolo, Universidade do Extremo Sul Catarinense (UNESC)

Postdoctoral fellow at the Polytechnic Institute of Lisbon. Postdoctoral, doctoral, and master's degrees from FURB. Professor in the PPGDS. E-mail: jaime@unesc.net

Jonas Rickrot Rosner, Universidade do Extremo Sul Catarinense (UNESC)

Master's degree in Socioeconomic Development and Bachelor's degree in Administration from UNESC. E-mail: jonasrosner@unesc.net

Citas

AKERLOF, Karen et al. Do people “personally experience” global warming, and if so how, and does it matter? Global environmental change, v. 23, n. 1, p. 81-91, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2012.07.006 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2012.07.006

BALLEW, Matthew T. et al. Climate change in the American mind: Data, tools, and trends. Environment: Science and Policy for Sustainable Development, v. 61, n. 3, p. 4-18, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1080/00139157.2019.1589300 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/00139157.2019.1589300

BALLEW, Matthew T. et al. Does socioeconomic status moderate the political divide on climate change? The roles of education, income, and individualism. Global Environmental Change, v. 60, p. 102024, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2019.102024 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2019.102024

BARANZINI, Andrea; CARATTINI, Stefano. Effectiveness, earmarking and labeling: testing the acceptability of carbon taxes with survey data. Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, v. 19, p. 197-227, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10018-016-0144-7 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10018-016-0144-7

BERGQUIST, Magnus et al. Meta-analyses of fifteen determinants of public opinion about climate change taxes and laws. Nature Climate Change, v. 12, n. 3, p. 235-240, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-022-01297-6 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-022-01297-6

BOSTROM, Ann et al. Causal thinking and support for climate change policies: International survey findings. Global Environmental Change, v. 22, n. 1, p. 210-222, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.09.012 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.09.012

BRÜGGER, Adrian et al. Psychological responses to the proximity of climate change. Nature climate change, v. 5, n. 12, p. 1031-1037, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2760 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2760

CANTON, Helen. World Meteorological Organization—WMO. In: The Europa Directory of International Organizations 2021. Routledge, 2021. p. 388-393. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781003179900 DOI: https://doi.org/10.4324/9781003179900-59

CHANCEL, Lucas; BOTHE, Philipp and VOITURIEZ, Tancrède. Climate Inequality Report 2023. Fair taxes for a sustainable future in the Global South., 2023. Available at: https://wid.world/wp-content/uploads/2023/01/cbv2023-climateinequalityreport-2.pdf

CORNER, Adam; MARKOWITZ, Ezra; PIDGEON, Nick. Public engagement with climate change: the role of human values. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, v. 5, n. 3, p. 411-422, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.269 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.269

CZARNEK, Gabriela; KOSSOWSKA, Małgorzata; SZWED, Paulina. Right-wing ideology reduces the effects of education on climate change beliefs in more developed countries. Nature Climate Change, v. 11, n. 1, p. 9-13, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-00930-6 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-00930-6

DECHEZLEPRÊTRE, Antoine et al. Fighting climate change: International attitudes toward climate policies. National Bureau of Economic Research, 2022. https://doi.org/10.3386/w30265 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3386/w30265

DOUENNE, Thomas; FABRE, Adrien. French attitudes on climate change, carbon taxation and other climate policies. Ecological Economics, v. 169, p. 106496, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2019.106496 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2019.106496

DREWS, S.; van den BERGH, J.C. What explains public support for climate policies? A review of empirical and experimental studies. Climate Policy, v. 16, n. 7, p. 855-876, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2015.1058240 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2015.1058240

FAIRBROTHER, Malcolm. Public opinion about climate policies: A review and call for more studies of what people want. PLoS Climate, v. 1, n. 5, p. e0000030, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000030 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000030

FAIRBROTHER, Malcolm; SEVÄ, Ingemar Johansson; KULIN, Joakim. Political trust and the relationship between climate change beliefs and support for fossil fuel taxes: Evidence from a survey of 23 European countries. Global Environmental Change, v. 59, p. 102003, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2019.102003 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2019.102003

FORNELL, Claes; LARCKER, David F. Structural Equation Models with Unobservable Variables and Measurement Error: Algebra and Statistics. Journal of Marketing Research, v. 18, n. 3, p. 382-388, 1981. https://doi.org/10.2307/3150980 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/002224378101800313

GEELS, Frank W. The impact of the financial–economic crisis on sustainability transitions: Financial investment, governance and public discourse. Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions, v. 6, p. 67-95, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eist.2012.11.004 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eist.2012.11.004

GONZÁLEZ-HERNÁNDEZ, D. Liliana; AGUIRRE-GAMBOA, Raúl A.; MEIJLES, Erik W. The role of climate change perceptions and sociodemographics on reported mitigation efforts and performance among households in northeastern Mexico. Environment, Development and Sustainability, p. 1-23, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-021-02093-6 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-021-02093-6

HAIR JR, Joseph F. et al. Partial least squares structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM) using R: A workbook. Springer Nature, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-80519-7 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-80519-7

HAIR JR, Joseph F. et al. PLS-SEM or CB-SEM: updated guidelines on which method to use. International Journal of Multivariate Data Analysis, v. 1, n. 2, p. 107-123, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1504/ijmda.2017.087624 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1504/IJMDA.2017.087624

HAIR, Jr. Joseph. F. Multivariate data analysis: An overview. International Encyclopedia of Statistical Science, p. 904-907, 2011. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-04898-2_395

HAMMERLE, Mara; BEST, Rohan; CROSBY, Paul. Public acceptance of carbon taxes in Australia. Energy Economics, v. 101, p. 105420, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2021.105420 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2021.105420

HAN, Heejin; AHN, Sang Wuk. Youth mobilization to stop global climate change: Narratives and impact. Sustainability, v. 12, n. 10, p. 4127, 2020. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12104127 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/su12104127

HARRING, Niklas; JAGERS, Sverker C.; MATTI, Simon. The significance of political culture, economic context and instrument type for climate policy support: a cross-national study. Climate Policy, v. 19, n. 5, p. 636-650, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2018.1547181 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2018.1547181

HENSELER, Jörg; RINGLE, Christian M.; SARSTEDT, Marko. A new criterion for assessing discriminant validity in variance-based structural equation modeling. Journal of the academy of marketing science, v. 43, p. 115-135, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11747-014-0403-8 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11747-014-0403-8

KONISKY, David M.; HUGHES, Llewelyn; KAYLOR, Charles H. Extreme weather events and climate change concern. Climatic change, v. 134, p. 533-547, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-015-1555-3 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-015-1555-3

LEE, Katharine et al. Youth perceptions of climate change: A narrative synthesis. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, v. 11, n. 3, p. e641, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.641 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.641

LI, Yuh-Yuh; LIU, Shu-Chiu. Examining Taiwanese students’ views on climate change and the teaching of climate change in the context of higher education. Research in Science & Technological Education, v. 40, n. 4, p. 515-528, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1080/02635143.2020.1830268 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/02635143.2020.1830268

LOY, Laura S.; SPENCE, Alexa. Reducing, and bridging, the psychological distance of climate change. Journal of Environmental Psychology, v. 67, p. 101388, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvp.2020.101388 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvp.2020.101388

LUJALA, Päivi; LEIN, Haakon; RØD, Jan Ketil. Climate change, natural hazards, and risk perception: the role of proximity and personal experience. Local Environment, v. 20, n. 4, p. 489-509, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1080/13549839.2014.887666 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/13549839.2014.887666

MARTINHO, Graça; BALAIA, Natacha; PIRES, Ana. The Portuguese plastic carrier bag tax: The effects on consumers’ behavior. Waste management, v. 61, p. 3-12, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wasman.2017.01.023 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wasman.2017.01.023

MILDENBERGER, Matto et al. Limited impacts of carbon tax rebate programmes on public support for carbon pricing. Nature Climate Change, v. 12, n. 2, p. 141-147, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01268-3 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01268-3

MYERS, Teresa A. et al. The relationship between personal experience and belief in the reality of global warming. Nature climate change, v. 3, n. 4, p. 343-347, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1754 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1754

OJALA, Maria. Hope and climate change: The importance of hope for environmental engagement among young people. Environmental education research, v. 18, n. 5, p. 625-642, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504622.2011.637157 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/13504622.2011.637157

PODSAKOFF, Philip M. et al. Common method biases in behavioral research: a critical review of the literature and recommended remedies. Journal of applied psychology, v. 88, n. 5, p. 879, 2003. https://doi.org/10.1037/0021-9010.88.5.879 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1037/0021-9010.88.5.879

POORTINGA, Wouter et al. Uncertain climate: An investigation into public scepticism about anthropogenic climate change. Global environmental change, v. 21, n. 3, p. 1015-1024, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.03.001 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.03.001

RESER, Joseph P.; BRADLEY, Graham L. The nature, significance, and influence of perceived personal experience of climate change. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, v. 11, n. 5, p. e668, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.668 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.668

SHI, Jing et al. Knowledge as a driver of public perceptions about climate change reassessed. Nature Climate Change, v. 6, n. 8, p. 759-762, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2997 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2997

SHI, Jing; VISSCHERS, Vivianne HM; SIEGRIST, Michael. Public perception of climate change: The importance of knowledge and cultural worldviews. Risk Analysis, v. 35, n. 12, p. 2183-2201, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.12406 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.12406

SHUKLA, Priyadarshi R. et al. IPCC, 2019: Climate Change and Land: an IPCC special report on climate change, desertification, land degradation, sustainable land management, food security, and greenhouse gas fluxes in terrestrial ecosystems, 2019. www.ipcc.ch

SONNENSCHEIN, Jonas; SMEDBY, Nora. Designing air ticket taxes for climate change mitigation: insights from a Swedish valuation study. Climate Policy, v. 19, n. 5, p. 651-663, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2018.1547678 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2018.1547678

SPENCE, Alexa et al. Perceptions of climate change and willingness to save energy related to flood experience. Nature climate change, v. 1, n. 1, p. 46-49, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1059 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1059

SWIM, Janet K.; GEIGER, Nathaniel. Policy attributes, perceived impacts, and climate change policy preferences. Journal of Environmental Psychology, v. 77, p. 101673, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvp.2021.101673 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvp.2021.101673

TJERNSTRÖM, Emilia; TIETENBERG, Thomas. Do differences in attitudes explain differences in national climate change policies? Ecological economics, v. 65, n. 2, p. 315-324, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2007.06.019 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2007.06.019

UYDURANOGLU, Ayse; OZTURK, Serda Selin. Public support for carbon taxation in Turkey: drivers and barriers. Climate Policy, v. 20, n. 9, p. 1175-1191, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2020.1816887 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2020.1816887

VUICHARD, Pascal; STAUCH, Alexander; DÄLLENBACH, Nathalie. Individual or collective? Community investment, local taxes, and the social acceptance of wind energy in Switzerland. Energy Research & Social Science, v. 58, p. 101275, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2019.101275 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2019.101275

WALLACH, Omri. Race to net zero: Carbon neutral goals by country. Visual Capitalist, 2021. Available online at https://www.visualcapitalist.com/sp/race-to-net-zero-carbon-neutral-goals-by-country (accessed December 8, 2023).

WICKI, Michael; FESENFELD, Lukas; BERNAUER, Thomas. In search of politically feasible policy-packages for sustainable passenger transport: Insights from choice experiments in China, Germany, and the USA. Environmental Research Letters, v. 14, n. 8, p. 084048, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1088/17489326/ab30a2 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab30a2

WISEMAN, John; WILLIAMSON, Lara; FRITZE, Jess. Community engagement and climate change: learning from recent Australian experience. International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management, v. 2, n. 2, p. 134-147, 2010. https://doi.org//10.1108/17568691011040399 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/17568691011040399

ZAVAL, Lisa et al. How warm days increase belief in global warming. Nature Climate Change, v. 4, n. 2, p. 143-147, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2093 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2093

ZHANG, Yaming; ABBAS, Majed; IQBAL, Wasim. Analyzing sentiments and attitudes toward carbon taxation in Europe, USA, South Africa, Canada and Australia. Sustainable Production and Consumption, v. 28, p. 241-253, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spc.2021.04.010 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spc.2021.04.010

Publicado

2025-02-28

Cómo citar

Alves Silveira , F., Dagostim Picolo, J., & Rickrot Rosner, J. . . (2025). Influencia de las Preocupaciones sobre el Futuro en el Cambio Personal y en el Compromiso Personal e Institucional Frente al Cambio Climático. Ambiente & Educação: Revista De Educação Ambiental, 29(2), 1–22. https://doi.org/10.63595/ambeduc.v29i2.16441